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    • CommentAuthorporky
    • CommentTimeApr 13th 2010 edited
     
    Hi everyone,
    well, I have just started using Micks ratings and am just experimenting with different things, I used to do my own speed ratings based on Nick Mordins formula, but time restraints meant I had to stop, so I realise like any ratings or handicap it is not an exact science and a lot is speculation but these ratings I think have potential,
    I am a member at my local track at Great Yarmouth and went there today, I only bet on handicaps anyway (5 races today) and what I done was, as I was accessing the races I put the horses in from the declarations and picked the biggest rating from the last 3 runs preferably over the same distance, do all the horses, take out the non runners and look for the top 3 ratings, I know it is a primitive method at the moment but this is how the ratings came out today,
    • CommentAuthorporky
    • CommentTimeApr 13th 2010 edited
     
    sorry don't know what happened there, anyway as I was saying
    3.00
    1--horseradish.....1st...available 9-1 on course
    2--excellent guest
    3--subteufuge
    3.30
    1--vanilla loan....1st...available 8-1
    2--singin the blues
    3--shawkantango
    4.00
    1--silver linnet
    2--fair passion
    3--jack my boy
    4.30
    1--hollow green
    2--bugaku....1st...available 5-1
    3--raptor
    5.00
    1--delorain
    2--davana
    3--purely by chance
    I backed 2 of the 3 winners so not a bad day and I know I am going to have great fun fine tuning my skills,
    cheers
    Porky
  1.  
    Porky,
    Do you do a level win bet on the top 3 horses in each race you select, or do you do some sort of proportional distribution?
    Mick
    • CommentAuthorporky
    • CommentTimeApr 15th 2010
     
    hi Mick,
    I am not a big punter (yet) so what I did on tuesday was £10 level stake on the above races because as I say I only bet on handicaps so it is rare to get that many races at a meeting, and it worked well this time, but I am looking at other ways as well to see which is best, as I say now the fine tuning begins
    cheers
    Porky
    • CommentAuthorporky
    • CommentTimeApr 24th 2010 edited
     
    hi all,
    just thought I would put a few up for Wolverhampton tonight, (only meeting I got a chance to do before it had started) still primitive and hcaps only:
    6.50
    captain kallis...........nowhere
    two turtle doves.......nowhere
    silvanius................nowhere
    7.20
    vanilla loan.............nowhere
    papageno...............nowhere
    madam isshe...........nowhere
    8.20
    hulcote rose............ 1st--7-2
    charpoy cobra...........nowhere
    daniella de bruijn.......nowhere
    9.20
    looks the business.......nowhere
    birkside...................3rd--8-1
    nayessence................1st--13-8 fav

    lets see how these get on
    cheers
    Porky
    well not much money today but it was 50% strike rate which sounds good even if it isn't, oh well back to the fine tuning
    • CommentAuthorporky
    • CommentTimeApr 25th 2010 edited
     
    hiya me again to give you a laugh, I have tried something different today,
    top two rated and still handicaps only

    bath 3.15
    prince rossi.......nowhere
    hobson............nowhere
    3.50
    cool strike........2nd--2-1f
    war party.........nowhere
    4.55
    nepotism..........2nd--22-1
    hot pursuits.......3rd--15-2
    5.25
    bo mcginty.........3rd--7-1
    mazzola............nowhere

    wetherby 2.55
    arctic rock............p/u
    reasonably sure......nowhere
    3.30
    humourous...........3rd--12-1
    mister fizzbomb.....nowhere
    4.00
    chorizo...............NR
    killard point.........2nd--11-10
    4.35
    pugnacity...........nowhere
    noble edge..........nowhere

    3.05 ludlow
    wild tonto.............3rd--10-1
    screenscraper.........nowhere
    4.15
    american world........NR
    tyup pompey..........3RD--7-1

    well this is embarrassing, no winners, just a scattering of places
    back to the drawing board
    cheers
    Porky
    • CommentAuthorporky
    • CommentTimeApr 25th 2010 edited
     
    hiya,
    here are tomorrow afternoons selections, see what happens
    2.10 newc
    darcys pride.....nowhere
    lujiana...........nowhere
    3.10
    bear tobougie.....nowhere
    dance for julie....nowhere
    4.10
    the nifty fox.......nowhere
    roker park.........nowhere
    4.40
    morrochius.......nowhere
    crocodile bay.....NR
    5.15
    fortunate bid........nowhere
    positivity............nowhere
    5.45
    gulf coast...........nowhere
    shekan star.........1st 8-1

    3.00 wolv
    night trade..........nowhere
    admin................nowhere
    3.30
    woolston ferry..........nowhere
    foreign investment.....nowhere
    5.05
    lucky leigh..................2nd--11-2
    caledonia express..........NR

    3.20 towcs
    helen wood................2nd--12-1
    classic fly.................nowhere
    3.50
    gershwinner.............nowhere
    schindlers tune.........nowhere
    4.55
    launde..................nowhere
    devils river............1st--4-1

    could be good or maybe not
    sorry to bore you all with this

    well a couple of nice winners but still to many empty races, must keep trying:
    cheers
    porky
    • CommentAuthorporky
    • CommentTimeApr 27th 2010 edited
     
    hiya,
    only had time to do Yarmouth today (as I am going)
    2.40
    young simon..........nowhere
    il forno................1st--11-10f
    3.10
    bells ocean...........nowhere
    miss polly plum......2nd--16-1
    4.40
    mejd..................3rd--6-1
    silent majority.......nowhere
    5.10
    kazbow................2nd--4-5f
    moscow oznick........(3rd)

    see what happens
    not much again today, I'll go away and try some more tweaks
    cheers
    porky